EU Exit Analysis

Migration and labour market

This section holds the latest DfE analysis on the labour market and migrant workers.

• Joint letter to UK government Minister for Safe and Legal Migration
• DfE Minister response to the Migration Advisory Commitee (MAC) call for evidence on Intra-company Transfers
• Response to the Migration Advisory Committee call for evidence on skills shortages
• Independent review of the impact of changes to UK Migration Policy on the Northern Ireland economy
• Northern Ireland evidence relevant to the UK Government’s immigration white paper
• Infographic and summary analysis of migrant workers in NI
• Northern Ireland Migration, Labour and Skills
• An analysis of migrant workers from the Northern Ireland Census

Other related publications

• NISRA People Movement and Migration
• ONS Living abroad: dynamics of migration between the UK and Ireland

Common Travel Area

This section provides information on cross border people movements.

• Cross Border Movements: The movement of people across the Northern Ireland - Republic of Ireland border
• Background Evidence on the Movement of People across the Northern Ireland - Ireland Border
• Cross Border Movements: Additional Analysis

Other related publications

• Cross Border Shopping Survey (Quarter 1 2018)
• Traffic Counts of Vehicles at the 15 Main Northern Ireland-Ireland Border Crossing Locations
• DExEU Common Travel Area Additional Data Paper
• Atkins Technical Note: Cross Border Travel

Trade and investment

This section provides research and analysis around the area of trade and investment.

• Northern Ireland’s unique market access position
• The relationship between exports, innovation and productivity in small advanced economies: implications for Northern Ireland
• The business journey through year one of EU Exit
• Customs Capacity Study
• Attracting foreign direct investment to Northern Ireland in the context of our post EU exit trading relationships
• The impact on Northern Ireland arising from the UK’s exit from the EU: Partial Equilibrium Modelling
• Northern Ireland International Trade and Investment Patterns – Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (GCC)
• Assessing the impact of EU Exit on the cost of retail goods in Northern Ireland
• Direct economic impact of Northern Ireland Protocol on the NI economy
• Analysing HGV movements between NI and GB using mobile network data
• Customs Capacity Study within Service Providers
• Characteristics of Northern Ireland Firms Engaged in Trade
• The impact of Brexit uncertainty on greenfield FDI-related new jobs in Northern Ireland
• Northern Ireland International Trade and Investment Patterns - Japan
• Northern Ireland International Trade and Investment Patterns
• Northern Ireland Businesses: Trade Flows, Surplus and Deficit
• District Council Area Data
• Analysis of NI Trade in Goods 2016 - 2018
• The Direct Trade Impacts of EU Exit scenarios on Northern Ireland's long term economic performance
• Northern Ireland Trade and Investment data under 'No Deal'
• The potential impacts of Sterling depreciation in a "No Deal" scenario
• Northern Ireland Trade Data - an update
• Irish land border - existing and potential customs facilitations in a no-deal scenario
• The Impact of EU Exit on the attractiveness of FDI to the UK and NI and associated job creation effects
• Northern Ireland Retail Study
• EU Exit and Impacts on Northern Ireland’s Services Trade - Evidence from Services Trade Restrictiveness Indices
• The Annual Purchases Survey in Northern Ireland-Modelling the Origin of Products
• Northern Ireland International Trade in Service - New Perspectives
• Analysis of NI Trade in Goods
• Cross Border Supply Chain Report

The Department for Enterprise, Trade and Investment (DETI) commissioned Oxford Economics to produce an impact analysis of different EU Exit scenarios; this report is available on the Economic Advisory Group website.

DfE has been involved in a range of work being taken forward by NISRA, ONS and InterTradeIreland on trade analysis. Available publications are below.

• Analysis of UK "No Deal" Tariff Schedule in the Context of Cross-Border Trade
• Shock absorption Capacity of Firms in Ireland and Northern Ireland
• NISRA trade slide packs and commentary
• Export Participation and Performance of Firms on the Island of Ireland
• Patterns of Northern Ireland trade by destination, product and business characteristics: 2012 to 2016
• IntertradeIreland Cross Border Trade and Supply Chain Linkages
• IntertradeIreland potential impact of WTO tariffs on cross border trade

Other related publications

• Mapping post-EU Exit regulatory divergence in Northern Ireland
• Northern Ireland International Trade and Investment Patterns
• DExEU Northern Ireland Trade Data and Statistics