Labour Market Statistics - October 2025
Date published:
The labour market statistics were published today by the Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency.
Payrolled employees and median earnings increased over the year
- The number of employees receiving pay through HMRC PAYE in NI in September 2025 was 814,700, an increase of 0.2% over the month and an increase 1.0% over the year.
- Earnings data from HMRC PAYE indicated that NI employees had a median monthly pay of £2,401 in September 2025, an increase of £32 (1.4%) over the month and an increase of £154 (6.9%) over the year.
- The estimates from HMRC PAYE for the latest period are based on early data and, therefore, are more likely to be subject to larger revisions.
Labour Force Survey headline measures
- The latest NI seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (the proportion of economically active people aged 16 and over who were unemployed) for the period June-August 2025 was estimated from the Labour Force Survey at 2.6%. This represents an increase of 0.5 percentage points (pps) over the quarter and an increase of 0.8pps over the year.
- The proportion of people aged 16 to 64 in work (the employment rate) decreased by 0.9pps over the quarter and decreased by 1.1pps over the year to 71.2%.
- The total number of weekly hours worked in NI was estimated at 28.7 million hours, a decrease of 5.1% on the previous quarter and a decrease of 0.4% on the equivalent period last year.
- The economic inactivity rate (the proportion of people aged 16 to 64 who were not working and not seeking or available to work) increased by 0.5pps over the quarter and increased by 0.4pps over the year to 26.9%.
Seasonally adjusted claimant count rate remains relatively stable over the month
- In September 2025, the seasonally adjusted number of people on the claimant count was 36,900 (3.8% of the workforce), an increase of 2.9% from the previous month’s revised figure. The September 2025 claimant count remains 23.7% higher than the pre-pandemic count in March 2020.
Latest annual total of confirmed redundancies similar to previous year
- NISRA, acting on behalf of the Department for the Economy, received confirmation that 100 redundancies occurred in September 2025. Over the year, October 2024 to September 2025, 2,350 redundancies were confirmed, which was similar to the figure for the previous year (2,310).
- There were 240 proposed redundancies in September 2025, taking the annual total to 2,910, which was just below the figure for the previous year (3,000).
Commentary
- The latest Labour Market results continue to highlight a slowing down of the labour market within Northern Ireland. Across all sources, changes in the employment levels over the year have been relatively small. Although there was an increase in payrolled employee numbers from the HMRC payroll data, the Labour Force Survey (LFS) shows a decrease in the employment rate, with increases in both the unemployment rate and the economic inactivity rate.
Notes to editors:
- The statistical report and associated tables are available on the NISRA website.
2. The Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency wishes to thank the participating households and businesses for their co-operation in agreeing to take part in the surveys and for facilitating the collection of the relevant data.
3. ‘Over the quarter’ refer to comparisons between the latest quarterly estimates for the period June-August 2025 and the quarter preceding that (i.e. March-May 2025). ‘Over the year’ refer to comparisons between the latest quarterly estimates for the period June-August 2025 and those of the corresponding quarter one year previously (i.e. June-August 2024). Changes that are significant in a statistical sense (i.e. where the estimated change exceeded the variability expected from a sample survey of this size and was likely to reflect real change) are specifically highlighted.
4. Estimates relating to June-August 2025 should be compared with the estimates for March-May 2025. This provides a more robust estimate than comparing with the estimates for May-July 2025, as the June and July data are included within both estimates.
5. The official measure of unemployment is from the Labour Force Survey. This measure of unemployment relates to people without a job who were available for work and had either looked for work in the last four weeks or were waiting to start a job. This is the International Labour Organisation definition. Labour Force Survey estimates are subject to sampling error. This means that the exact figure is likely to be contained in a range surrounding the estimate quoted. For example, the unemployment rate is likely to fall within 0.7pps of the quoted estimate (i.e. between 1.8% and 3.3%).
6. The claimant count is an administrative data source derived from Jobs and Benefits Offices systems, which records the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits. In March 2018, the NI claimant count measure changed from one based solely on Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) to an experimental measure based on JSA claimants and out-of-work Universal Credit (UC) claimants who were claiming principally for the reason of being unemployed. Those claiming unemployment-related benefits (either UC or JSA) may be wholly unemployed and seeking work or may be employed but with low income and/or low hours, that make them eligible for unemployment-related benefit support. Under UC a broader span of claimants became eligible for unemployment-related benefit than under the previous benefit regime.
7. Redundancies are provided by companies under the Employment Rights (Northern Ireland) Order 1996 (Amended 8 October 2006) whereby they are legally required to notify the Department of impending redundancies of 20 or more employees. Companies who propose fewer than 20 redundancies are not required to notify the Department, therefore the figures provided are likely to be an underestimate of total job losses, however, it is not possible to quantify the extent of the shortfall. All other things being equal we would expect more redundancies in sectors dominated by large businesses as they are the businesses that meet the 20 or more collective redundancy criteria.
8. To prevent the potential identification of individual businesses, redundancy totals relating to fewer than three businesses are not disclosed. The Statistical Disclosure Control Policy is available on the Redundancies Background Information page of the NISRA website. Where the number of businesses does not meet the threshold for release (as detailed in the Statistical Disclosure Control Policy), individual monthly totals are not published.
9. HMRC’s Pay As You Earn (PAYE) Real Time Information (RTI) system is an administrative data source. The PAYE RTI system is the system employers use to take Income Tax and National Insurance contributions before they pay wages to employees. These data relate to employees paid by employers only, and do not include self-employment income.
10. Estimates of the number of paid employees and employee earnings from PAYE are classed as official statistics in development as they are still in their development phase. As a result, the data are subject to revisions. Early estimates (flash estimates) for September 2025 are based on around 85% of information and will be subject to revision in the next month’s release when between 98% and 99% of data will be available (main estimates). The size of revisions to main and flash estimates are similar for employees, while revisions to earnings flash estimates are typically larger than main estimate revisions. The HMRC PAYE covers the whole population rather than a sample of employees or companies. Data are based on where employees live and not the location of their place of work within the UK. Data are seasonally adjusted but not adjusted for inflation.
11. The Labour Market Report will be of interest to policy makers, public bodies, the business community, banks, economic commentators, academics, and the general public with an interest in the local economy.
12. The next scheduled release of the Labour Market Report will be published on the NISRA website on Tuesday 11th November 2025.
13. For media enquiries contact the Department for the Economy Press Office at pressoffice@economy-ni.gov.uk
14. The Executive Information Service operates an out of hours service for media enquiries only between 1800hrs and 0800hrs Monday to Friday and at weekends and public holidays. The duty press officer can be contacted on 028 9037 8110.
15. To keep up to date with news from the Department you can follow us on the following social media channels:
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16. Feedback is welcomed and should be addressed to: Responsible statistician: Mark McFetridge, Economic & Labour Market Statistics (ELMS), Mark.McFetridge@nisra.gov.uk or Tel: 028 902 55172.